Three from three on Wednesday. Atletico-Arsenal landed under, Sporting cleared the handicap, and Al Nassr-Al Ahli was over before half time. The model has been good this week. The temptation is to start chasing prices. I am not doing that.
Leeds at Elland Road against a Burnley side already promoted is the cleanest single on the slate. Burnley have nothing to play for. Leeds need to win to lock automatic promotion ahead of Sheffield United. Daniel Farke has won 14 of his last 16 home games as Leeds boss. 1.41 on a home win in this script is short on paper but generous in context. Take it.
Girona-Mallorca BTTS is a value play I have hit twice already this season. Both teams have seen BTTS land in seven of their last ten. Girona score at home, Mallorca score away. Neither defence is good enough to keep a clean sheet. 1.69 on a market that should price closer to 1.55 is the spot.
Gaziantep-Besiktas is the trickiest of the three but the safest in market terms. Besiktas to take a one-goal lead at any point in the match is a forgiving market. They have led in 18 of their last 22 league games. Gaziantep have trailed in their last seven home league fixtures. 1.45 with three ways to win, including a Besiktas comeback, is the right side.
One unit on the acca. Two units each on the singles. The slate runs itself.